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	<title>Future Business</title>
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		<title>Future Business</title>
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		<title>Tag your tasks &#8211; Eliminate Static Hierarchy</title>
		<link>http://swanthinks.wordpress.com/2012/01/30/tag-your-tasks-eliminate-static-hierarchy/</link>
		<comments>http://swanthinks.wordpress.com/2012/01/30/tag-your-tasks-eliminate-static-hierarchy/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Mon, 30 Jan 2012 13:36:44 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Swan</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Uncategorized]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[planning]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[PM]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[project management]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[tagging]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[tasks]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://swanthinks.wordpress.com/?p=716</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[Last year I wrote a post called &#8220;Microsoft Project doesn&#8217;t work&#8220;.  The headline is a bit sensational, but the sentiment is something I am going to explore further in this post. Project management tools usually require the entry of tasks &#8230; <a href="http://swanthinks.wordpress.com/2012/01/30/tag-your-tasks-eliminate-static-hierarchy/">Continue reading <span class="meta-nav">&#8594;</span></a><img alt="" border="0" src="http://stats.wordpress.com/b.gif?host=swanthinks.wordpress.com&#038;blog=4286913&#038;post=716&#038;subd=swanthinks&#038;ref=&#038;feed=1" width="1" height="1" />]]></description>
				<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p><img class="alignleft  wp-image-717" title="meta-tags" src="http://swanthinks.files.wordpress.com/2012/01/meta-tags.jpg?w=200&#038;h=162" alt="" width="200" height="162" /></p>
<p>Last year I wrote a post called &#8220;<a title="Microsoft Project doesn’t work" href="http://swanthinks.wordpress.com/2011/03/14/microsoft-project-doesnt-work/">Microsoft Project doesn&#8217;t work</a>&#8220;.  The headline is a bit sensational, but the sentiment is something I am going to explore further in this post.</p>
<p>Project management tools usually require the entry of tasks and all their accompanying data via hierarchies.  A group of tasks are made a subset of a parent task, which fits within a project, etc&#8230;.  The end result is a single view hierarchy for a scope of work.</p>
<p>The problem with static hierarchies is that they are just one view of a complex world.  Another person in the exact same job as you, might see the structure/relationships differently.  Yet another person in a completely different role from you will almost definitely create different groupings and sub-structures for the tasks.  Over time, even YOU are likely to believe the task relationships aren&#8217;t quite right due to new information about the world changing around that structure.</p>
<p>Despite most project members&#8217; mild buy-in to the initial work breakdown structure and despite the fact that almost all project plans become rapidly irrelevant, they are still the favored structure for project managers.</p>
<p>What if rather than grouping tasks and building a hierarchy, tasks are just tagged with keywords?   There are relatively sophisticated tools now for building views on top of those tags to show the work plan in the way that makes most sense to the viewer.  There could also be filters to take out extraneous (to that person) information and simple hyperlinks to view related sets of tasks.</p>
<p>There would still need to be dependencies between tasks, but those related tasks could be initially found through keyword searches and links could be established via collaborative project start-up sessions.  With dependencies established, individualized views could allow software to display specific gantt charts.</p>
<p>Avoiding the static hierarchy means one less artifact pinning down the original plan thereby giving more opportunity for the plan to stay ahead of the reality taking shape around it over time.</p>
<p>Does anyone know of any project management tools out there that work more like this?  I have not found them yet.</p>
<br /> Tagged: <a href='http://swanthinks.wordpress.com/tag/planning/'>planning</a>, <a href='http://swanthinks.wordpress.com/tag/pm/'>PM</a>, <a href='http://swanthinks.wordpress.com/tag/project-management/'>project management</a>, <a href='http://swanthinks.wordpress.com/tag/tagging/'>tagging</a>, <a href='http://swanthinks.wordpress.com/tag/tasks/'>tasks</a> <a rel="nofollow" href="http://feeds.wordpress.com/1.0/gocomments/swanthinks.wordpress.com/716/"><img alt="" border="0" src="http://feeds.wordpress.com/1.0/comments/swanthinks.wordpress.com/716/" /></a> <img alt="" border="0" src="http://stats.wordpress.com/b.gif?host=swanthinks.wordpress.com&#038;blog=4286913&#038;post=716&#038;subd=swanthinks&#038;ref=&#038;feed=1" width="1" height="1" />]]></content:encoded>
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		<slash:comments>1</slash:comments>
	
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			<media:title type="html">Swan</media:title>
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		<title>Brainstorming technique &#8211; Asking all the questions</title>
		<link>http://swanthinks.wordpress.com/2011/08/02/brainstorming-technique-asking-all-the-questions/</link>
		<comments>http://swanthinks.wordpress.com/2011/08/02/brainstorming-technique-asking-all-the-questions/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Wed, 03 Aug 2011 02:17:40 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Swan</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Uncategorized]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[assumptions]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[brainstorm]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[questions]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[scope]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[strategy]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://swanthinks.wordpress.com/?p=494</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[Every time we have a new idea, it takes into account a wide range of assumptions that are based on our own personal background/experience.  Just because we have personal data that leads to an assumption, does not mean that assumption &#8230; <a href="http://swanthinks.wordpress.com/2011/08/02/brainstorming-technique-asking-all-the-questions/">Continue reading <span class="meta-nav">&#8594;</span></a><img alt="" border="0" src="http://stats.wordpress.com/b.gif?host=swanthinks.wordpress.com&#038;blog=4286913&#038;post=494&#038;subd=swanthinks&#038;ref=&#038;feed=1" width="1" height="1" />]]></description>
				<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p><img class="alignleft" title="post-its" src="http://t0.gstatic.com/images?q=tbn:ANd9GcQZ5j6DcLr95tRxgI3E7gddR0QZBNdY2kYtI_Da8Wj44tUeOXyN" alt="" width="225" height="224" />Every time we have a new idea, it takes into account a wide range of assumptions that are based on our own personal background/experience.  Just because we have personal data that leads to an assumption, does not mean that assumption is correct.</p>
<p>There is a group brainstorming activity which does not seek answers or solutions.  Instead the process looks to define the scope of a particular space through exploring questions.  The process seeks to eliminate assumptions and take nothing for granted.</p>
<p>This is just the start of a strategic planning process, but it is a really important one to make everyone think broadly before starting to hone in on answering questions and solving problems that you feel are most pertinent for your idea.</p>
<p>Before you begin, you should lay out some very high-level goals and carve your idea space into a few sub-topics that you want to explore.  This works best if your facilitator also is versed in the topic you are discussing.</p>
<p>You will need the following materials</p>
<ul>
<li>large 5&#8243;x8&#8243; colored post-it notepads (at least one per attendee)</li>
<li>sharpee pens (at least 1 per attendee)</li>
<li>colored sticker dots (at least 20 per attendee)</li>
</ul>
<p>Note: optionally you can hand different colored pads to different attendees if you are interested in visually understanding which people are asking what questions.  For example you might have Marketing folks and Management in the same room and it might be interesting to get a sense of the different perspectives.</p>
<p>For each sub-topic you will build a wall of questions:</p>
<ol>
<li>Using the pens on the pads, ask each of the attendees to begin writing down questions on that they feel are important to know the answers for in that topic area</li>
<li>Pass each note up to the facilitator</li>
<li>The facilitator will read each question and ask for clarification where appropriate</li>
<li>Each question follows one of these paths
<ul>
<li>The facilitator asks for question to be modified or broken up etc&#8230; and then re-submitted.</li>
<li>Facilitator determines that a question is better suited for another sub-topic: writes that sub-topic on the note and puts it off to the side</li>
<li>Facilitator asks author if question is perhaps similar to one already on the wall.</li>
<li>Facilitator places that question on the wall grouped with other related questions when possible</li>
</ul>
</li>
<li>As each participant hears the questions being read, that is going to spark additional questions in their heads.  They should keep writing them down and passing them up as this happens.</li>
</ol>
<p>You will find that the stack of questions waiting to be read may grow longer and shorter as the process continues.  Keep going while there is a steady flow of questions that are not repeating previous questions.</p>
<p>Now you are going to rate the questions via a process called dotmocracy</p>
<ol>
<li>each attendee gets X sticker dots.  X is any number you decide</li>
<li>Attendees are allowed to place their dots on any of the notes on the wall</li>
<li>They can place more than one dot and in fact as many as they like on any note.</li>
</ol>
<p>There is nothing explicitly to do with the ranking of the questions.  There may be some that garner more votes because they are broader while others may receive less because they split votes with other similar ones.  The votes should just be used as one data point when using the questions to build a strategy.</p>
<p>Anyone used a process like this?  Parts you liked?  Parts you didn&#8217;t?</p>
<br /> Tagged: <a href='http://swanthinks.wordpress.com/tag/assumptions/'>assumptions</a>, <a href='http://swanthinks.wordpress.com/tag/brainstorm/'>brainstorm</a>, <a href='http://swanthinks.wordpress.com/tag/questions/'>questions</a>, <a href='http://swanthinks.wordpress.com/tag/scope/'>scope</a>, <a href='http://swanthinks.wordpress.com/tag/strategy/'>strategy</a> <a rel="nofollow" href="http://feeds.wordpress.com/1.0/gocomments/swanthinks.wordpress.com/494/"><img alt="" border="0" src="http://feeds.wordpress.com/1.0/comments/swanthinks.wordpress.com/494/" /></a> <img alt="" border="0" src="http://stats.wordpress.com/b.gif?host=swanthinks.wordpress.com&#038;blog=4286913&#038;post=494&#038;subd=swanthinks&#038;ref=&#038;feed=1" width="1" height="1" />]]></content:encoded>
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			<media:title type="html">Swan</media:title>
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			<media:title type="html">post-its</media:title>
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		<item>
		<title>The Singularity</title>
		<link>http://swanthinks.wordpress.com/2011/07/25/the-singularity/</link>
		<comments>http://swanthinks.wordpress.com/2011/07/25/the-singularity/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Mon, 25 Jul 2011 15:00:49 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Swan</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Uncategorized]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[change]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[exponential]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[innovation]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Kurzweil]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[singularity]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://swanthinks.wordpress.com/?p=701</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[It is human nature to estimate based on a linear progression. In other words, we look back over the last x amount of time, consider how much progress has occurred and then just calculate based on that factor to determine &#8230; <a href="http://swanthinks.wordpress.com/2011/07/25/the-singularity/">Continue reading <span class="meta-nav">&#8594;</span></a><img alt="" border="0" src="http://stats.wordpress.com/b.gif?host=swanthinks.wordpress.com&#038;blog=4286913&#038;post=701&#038;subd=swanthinks&#038;ref=&#038;feed=1" width="1" height="1" />]]></description>
				<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p><a href="http://www.amazon.com/Singularity-Near-Humans-Transcend-Biology/dp/0670033847"><img class="alignleft" title="Singularity Book" src="http://1.bp.blogspot.com/_NPKFzoCD6YA/TGAGvN76D4I/AAAAAAAAB8s/D0gUz_RCibs/s1600/kurzweil_singularity.jpg" alt="" width="199" height="300" /></a>It is human nature to estimate based on a linear progression. In other words, we look back over the last x amount of time, consider how much progress has occurred and then just calculate based on that factor to determine how long whatever we are estimating will take.</p>
<p>But that is not the way that many things in our society change. In fact, many changes are happening at an exponential rate. The classic is the speed of computing which was predicted and has doubled every two years or so (Moore&#8217;s Law). Another good example is the speed of sequencing human DNA. 1/2 way to the deadline, they were only 2-3% complete, but because everything sped up so much, it was finished on time.</p>
<p>Because of these exponential curves, we tend to underestimate in our prediction of progress that will take place. The key is that each new level of progress achieved enables new types of change to take place. We are using what we newly develop to develop other new things that were not before possible.</p>
<p><a href="http://www.ted.com/talks/ray_kurzweil_on_how_technology_will_transform_us.html">Ray Kurzweil&#8217;s singularity premise</a> is that we will not be satisfied with the speed of evolution and so we will enhance ourselves and our helpers more and more. We are already doing it with contact lenses and prostheses. Why is it such a stretch that we would start enhancing our brains or building external &#8220;brains&#8221; at some point?</p>
<p>Once that starts to happen, we have a very key element in the innovation process that is no longer constrained and this opens up even more opportunity for the speed of change. At some point (Kurzweil predicts 2029), we reach a speed and complexity that the &#8220;human&#8221; part of us cannot really understand and the human life form, as we know it today, essentially disappears. That is the singularity.</p>
<p>While the singularity is certainly too far away for business to care much at this point, exponential curves are all around us. If you can overcome the linear bias and use a faster predicted change rate to get out in front of something changing in your industry, you may well do better than your competitors. What will changes in other spaces enable for your business. Can you start planning for that now?</p>
<p>Disagree? Agree? Have a values/moral/ethical opinion?</p>
<br /> Tagged: <a href='http://swanthinks.wordpress.com/tag/change/'>change</a>, <a href='http://swanthinks.wordpress.com/tag/exponential/'>exponential</a>, <a href='http://swanthinks.wordpress.com/tag/innovation/'>innovation</a>, <a href='http://swanthinks.wordpress.com/tag/kurzweil/'>Kurzweil</a>, <a href='http://swanthinks.wordpress.com/tag/singularity/'>singularity</a> <a rel="nofollow" href="http://feeds.wordpress.com/1.0/gocomments/swanthinks.wordpress.com/701/"><img alt="" border="0" src="http://feeds.wordpress.com/1.0/comments/swanthinks.wordpress.com/701/" /></a> <img alt="" border="0" src="http://stats.wordpress.com/b.gif?host=swanthinks.wordpress.com&#038;blog=4286913&#038;post=701&#038;subd=swanthinks&#038;ref=&#038;feed=1" width="1" height="1" />]]></content:encoded>
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			<media:title type="html">Swan</media:title>
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			<media:title type="html">Singularity Book</media:title>
		</media:content>
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		<title>Book Review &#8211; Super Sad True Love Story</title>
		<link>http://swanthinks.wordpress.com/2011/03/21/book-review-super-sad-true-love-story/</link>
		<comments>http://swanthinks.wordpress.com/2011/03/21/book-review-super-sad-true-love-story/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Mon, 21 Mar 2011 14:58:22 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Swan</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Book Review]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[commentary]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[distopia]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[economy]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[review]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Shteyngart]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[society]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://swanthinks.wordpress.com/?p=673</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[I aim to cover progressive approaches to business.  Reviews of fictional works don&#8217;t usually qualify.   However, a novel I just finished seems germane to my &#8220;future business&#8221; theme:  &#8221;Super Sad True Love Story&#8221; by Gary Shteyngart. Shteyngart explores one possible future that &#8230; <a href="http://swanthinks.wordpress.com/2011/03/21/book-review-super-sad-true-love-story/">Continue reading <span class="meta-nav">&#8594;</span></a><img alt="" border="0" src="http://stats.wordpress.com/b.gif?host=swanthinks.wordpress.com&#038;blog=4286913&#038;post=673&#038;subd=swanthinks&#038;ref=&#038;feed=1" width="1" height="1" />]]></description>
				<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p><img class="alignleft" title="Super Sad True Love Story" src="http://bfgb.files.wordpress.com/2011/01/super-sad-true-love-story.jpg?w=201&#038;h=251" alt="" width="201" height="251" />I aim to cover progressive approaches to business.  Reviews of fictional works don&#8217;t usually qualify.   However, a novel I just finished seems germane to my &#8220;<a title="About “Future Business”" href="http://swanthinks.wordpress.com/about/">future business</a>&#8221; theme:  &#8221;<a href="http://www.amazon.com/gp/product/1400066409/ref=as_li_ss_tl?ie=UTF8&amp;tag=speakeintera-20&amp;linkCode=as2&amp;camp=1789&amp;creative=390957&amp;creativeASIN=1400066409" target="_blank">Super Sad True Love Story</a>&#8221; by Gary Shteyngart.</p>
<p>Shteyngart explores one possible future that may follow from some of our current trends.  He painfully describes in detail the distopian demise of the american society and economy.  It would not be quite so painful if it were not obvious that we have already started down many of the paths he treads.</p>
<p>In his future, people have become fanatically involved in their personal information devices;  to the point where face to face interaction has become somewhat awkward.  People relate to each other based on a series of public scores/rankings.  Starting to sound familiar?</p>
<p>In this fictional society the US is even more indebted to foreign powers who have grown impatient with our inability to handle our economic and social issues.  Everyone is so worried about their personal status and their purchasing power that they have lost all sight of what it takes to create real value and drive an economy.</p>
<p>Happily, I can envision some different paths for the US.  I am heartened by the new class of social entrepreneurs and the recent increased focus on education.  We have a growing set of people with good ideas and the gumption to execute.  If we can win the masses over from their sense of entitlement, innovation could usher in a new wave of prosperity.  The US has a rare combination of access to capital, resources, and tools for innovators to succeed.</p>
<p>My hope is that more and more people will weave innovation into their day job, ideas they have for a side business, or social projects they pursue.  Future business in this country can be even more successful than ever if the majority stop acting like cogs and begin working as engines.</p>
<p>Anyone else read this book?  Even if you haven&#8217;t, what are your thoughts on where we are headed?</p>
<br /> Tagged: <a href='http://swanthinks.wordpress.com/tag/commentary/'>commentary</a>, <a href='http://swanthinks.wordpress.com/tag/distopia/'>distopia</a>, <a href='http://swanthinks.wordpress.com/tag/economy/'>economy</a>, <a href='http://swanthinks.wordpress.com/tag/review/'>review</a>, <a href='http://swanthinks.wordpress.com/tag/shteyngart/'>Shteyngart</a>, <a href='http://swanthinks.wordpress.com/tag/society/'>society</a> <a rel="nofollow" href="http://feeds.wordpress.com/1.0/gocomments/swanthinks.wordpress.com/673/"><img alt="" border="0" src="http://feeds.wordpress.com/1.0/comments/swanthinks.wordpress.com/673/" /></a> <img alt="" border="0" src="http://stats.wordpress.com/b.gif?host=swanthinks.wordpress.com&#038;blog=4286913&#038;post=673&#038;subd=swanthinks&#038;ref=&#038;feed=1" width="1" height="1" />]]></content:encoded>
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			<media:title type="html">Swan</media:title>
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			<media:title type="html">Super Sad True Love Story</media:title>
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		<title>Microsoft Project doesn&#8217;t work</title>
		<link>http://swanthinks.wordpress.com/2011/03/14/microsoft-project-doesnt-work/</link>
		<comments>http://swanthinks.wordpress.com/2011/03/14/microsoft-project-doesnt-work/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Mon, 14 Mar 2011 17:21:40 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Swan</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Uncategorized]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[7 keys]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[gantt]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Microsoft]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[planning]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[PM]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[project]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[project management]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[status]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://swanthinks.wordpress.com/?p=646</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[I have been using Microsoft Project for years.  There&#8217;s been a lot of love and a lot of hate.  Often at the same time. In my opinion, it is still the best available software for setting up project tasks and &#8230; <a href="http://swanthinks.wordpress.com/2011/03/14/microsoft-project-doesnt-work/">Continue reading <span class="meta-nav">&#8594;</span></a><img alt="" border="0" src="http://stats.wordpress.com/b.gif?host=swanthinks.wordpress.com&#038;blog=4286913&#038;post=646&#038;subd=swanthinks&#038;ref=&#038;feed=1" width="1" height="1" />]]></description>
				<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p><img class="alignleft" title="Microsoft Project" src="http://whynotdownload.com/wp-content/uploads/2011/01/Projectfordummies.jpg" alt="" width="202" height="256" /></p>
<p>I have been using Microsoft Project for years.  There&#8217;s been a lot of love and a lot of hate.  Often at the same time.</p>
<p>In my opinion, it is still the best available software for setting up project tasks and project dependencies.</p>
<p>Unfortunately, that is where the party almost always ends.  The problem is that reality almost never follows the path we envision on Day 0.  The timeline is not the only element that changes.  What steps are required and the order of those steps ebb and flow as well throughout the project.</p>
<p>This is where the best part of MS Project also becomes its downfall: it is so good at identifying dependencies and assigning resources in order to build a nicely structured gantt chart, that the interdependencies are usually massive.  When elements start to shift, the number of data points and task relationships that must be maintained becomes unwieldy.</p>
<p>Most PM&#8217;s realize eventually that nobody else on the team is really paying much attention to the project plan and they are spending inordinate amounts of time trying to keep it current, so they give up.  In a horrible scenario, they try to deathmarch to the beat of the original plan.  In a better scenario, they find an alternate way to track progress and predict success.</p>
<p>I have found MS Project is a useful tool at the beginning of a project to identify <a href="http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Critical_path_method" target="_blank">critical path</a>.  A critical path is the longest dependency chain.  It is a set of tasks that if one of them slips, it will slip your entire project.</p>
<p>Once I am ready to begin a project, I slim it down to a format that the whole team can relate to and that can be kept up to date more easily.  I also like frameworks such as <a href="http://www-935.ibm.com/services/au/index.wss/multipage/bcs/whitepaper/a1006512" target="_blank">IBM&#8217;s 7 keys approach</a> which takes a much more holistic approach to project status tracking.</p>
<p>Anyone using MS Project all the way through a software development project?  Anyone using agile and MS Project together in some way?</p>
<br /> Tagged: <a href='http://swanthinks.wordpress.com/tag/7-keys/'>7 keys</a>, <a href='http://swanthinks.wordpress.com/tag/gantt/'>gantt</a>, <a href='http://swanthinks.wordpress.com/tag/microsoft/'>Microsoft</a>, <a href='http://swanthinks.wordpress.com/tag/planning/'>planning</a>, <a href='http://swanthinks.wordpress.com/tag/pm/'>PM</a>, <a href='http://swanthinks.wordpress.com/tag/project/'>project</a>, <a href='http://swanthinks.wordpress.com/tag/project-management/'>project management</a>, <a href='http://swanthinks.wordpress.com/tag/status/'>status</a> <a rel="nofollow" href="http://feeds.wordpress.com/1.0/gocomments/swanthinks.wordpress.com/646/"><img alt="" border="0" src="http://feeds.wordpress.com/1.0/comments/swanthinks.wordpress.com/646/" /></a> <img alt="" border="0" src="http://stats.wordpress.com/b.gif?host=swanthinks.wordpress.com&#038;blog=4286913&#038;post=646&#038;subd=swanthinks&#038;ref=&#038;feed=1" width="1" height="1" />]]></content:encoded>
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		<title>Pre-mortem for risk mitigation</title>
		<link>http://swanthinks.wordpress.com/2011/03/07/pre-mortem-for-risk-mitigation/</link>
		<comments>http://swanthinks.wordpress.com/2011/03/07/pre-mortem-for-risk-mitigation/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Mon, 07 Mar 2011 15:57:19 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Swan</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Uncategorized]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[AAR]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Guy Kawasaki]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[HBR]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[pre-mortem]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[risk]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[risk mitigation]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://swanthinks.wordpress.com/?p=651</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[If you wait until a post-mortem to review what went wrong, you are already dead!  It&#8217;s not going to help.  :( Guy Kawasaki mentioned another approach on his recent Entrepreneurial Thought Leaders podcast appearance. Before your effort fails, get everyone to &#8230; <a href="http://swanthinks.wordpress.com/2011/03/07/pre-mortem-for-risk-mitigation/">Continue reading <span class="meta-nav">&#8594;</span></a><img alt="" border="0" src="http://stats.wordpress.com/b.gif?host=swanthinks.wordpress.com&#038;blog=4286913&#038;post=651&#038;subd=swanthinks&#038;ref=&#038;feed=1" width="1" height="1" />]]></description>
				<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p><img class="alignleft" title="pre-mortem" src="http://www.gogamestorm.com/wp-content/uploads/2011/01/Pre-Mortem.jpg" alt="" width="226" height="181" />If you wait until a post-mortem to review what went wrong, <strong>you are already dead</strong>!  It&#8217;s not going to help.  :(</p>
<p><a href="http://www.guykawasaki.com/" target="_blank">Guy Kawasaki</a> mentioned another approach on his recent <a href="http://ecorner.stanford.edu/podcasts.html" target="_blank">Entrepreneurial Thought Leaders podcast</a> appearance.</p>
<p>Before your effort fails, get everyone to close their eyes and imagine it has failed.  Have each person describe the scenario that they believe could have led the team to that point.  Then all you have to do is capture all the described wrong turns as risks and decide which ones are important to mitigate.</p>
<p>Just like so many good ideas, this idea&#8217;s simplicity is its genius.  Participants will be emotionally involved and therefore will cut straight to the heart of the matter during an exercise that can otherwise be pretty dry.</p>
<p>Guy may have drawn the idea from this HBR article: <a href="http://hbr.org/2007/09/performing-a-project-premortem/ar/1" target="_blank">Performing a Project Pre-Mortem.</a></p>
<p>Anyone ever tried it?  If not, give it a shot and let me know what you think.</p>
<br /> Tagged: <a href='http://swanthinks.wordpress.com/tag/aar/'>AAR</a>, <a href='http://swanthinks.wordpress.com/tag/guy-kawasaki/'>Guy Kawasaki</a>, <a href='http://swanthinks.wordpress.com/tag/hbr/'>HBR</a>, <a href='http://swanthinks.wordpress.com/tag/pre-mortem/'>pre-mortem</a>, <a href='http://swanthinks.wordpress.com/tag/risk/'>risk</a>, <a href='http://swanthinks.wordpress.com/tag/risk-mitigation/'>risk mitigation</a> <a rel="nofollow" href="http://feeds.wordpress.com/1.0/gocomments/swanthinks.wordpress.com/651/"><img alt="" border="0" src="http://feeds.wordpress.com/1.0/comments/swanthinks.wordpress.com/651/" /></a> <img alt="" border="0" src="http://stats.wordpress.com/b.gif?host=swanthinks.wordpress.com&#038;blog=4286913&#038;post=651&#038;subd=swanthinks&#038;ref=&#038;feed=1" width="1" height="1" />]]></content:encoded>
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		<title>Book Review &#8211; Nudge</title>
		<link>http://swanthinks.wordpress.com/2011/02/21/book-review-nudge/</link>
		<comments>http://swanthinks.wordpress.com/2011/02/21/book-review-nudge/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Mon, 21 Feb 2011 15:17:17 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Swan</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Book Review]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[choice]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[decision framing]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Nudge]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[paternalist libertarianism]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[soft libertarianism]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://swanthinks.wordpress.com/?p=618</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[This book covers an approach with which I agree : Paternalistic Libertarianism.  Two big words that mean everyone should have the right to make choices for themselves, but that the system should be set-up to subtly encourage choices that we, &#8230; <a href="http://swanthinks.wordpress.com/2011/02/21/book-review-nudge/">Continue reading <span class="meta-nav">&#8594;</span></a><img alt="" border="0" src="http://stats.wordpress.com/b.gif?host=swanthinks.wordpress.com&#038;blog=4286913&#038;post=618&#038;subd=swanthinks&#038;ref=&#038;feed=1" width="1" height="1" />]]></description>
				<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p><img class="alignleft" title="Nudge Book Cover" src="http://t0.gstatic.com/images?q=tbn:ANd9GcTFQMCyrG_sKoDwxP1GCcbJj47IB4AwFc3KhDz0k_pgySPnUi2R2w" alt="" width="128" height="148" />This book covers an approach with which I agree : <a href="http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Soft_paternalism" target="_blank">Paternalistic Libertarianism</a>.  Two big words that mean everyone should have the right to make choices for themselves, but that the system should be set-up to subtly encourage choices that we, as the decision framers, believe are in the decision-makers&#8217; best interest and the best interest of the larger population.</p>
<p>I think Libertarian ideals are great, but game theory tells us that when we are left to each fend for ourselves, we do not always end up with an optimal solution that creates the most total utility.  In situations where there is a history of people making choices that are sub-optimal, a paternalistic nudge can be for the individual and overall good.</p>
<p>However, problems start to arise when you think about who should be the framer of these paternalistic decision choices.  Do they have motives beyond the common good?  Do they measure common good in different ways than we do?  While nudging is certainly better than legislating against something (from a Libertarian point of view), it may not match with our own personal definition of &#8220;good&#8221;.</p>
<p>This book, like so many business books, would have been much better as a long magazine article.  It gets quite repetitive.  I feel that the authors could have traded out some of the endless examples for more space to help potential framers think through how to best approach setting up a nudge.</p>
<p>Though I skimmed it at parts, all in all, I thought it was an interesting read.  What I learned will hopefully inform my approach next time I am faced with framing a decision for others.</p>
<p>Please share if you have ever experienced or set-up a nudge and what you felt about the experience.</p>
<br /> Tagged: <a href='http://swanthinks.wordpress.com/tag/choice/'>choice</a>, <a href='http://swanthinks.wordpress.com/tag/decision-framing/'>decision framing</a>, <a href='http://swanthinks.wordpress.com/tag/nudge/'>Nudge</a>, <a href='http://swanthinks.wordpress.com/tag/paternalist-libertarianism/'>paternalist libertarianism</a>, <a href='http://swanthinks.wordpress.com/tag/soft-libertarianism/'>soft libertarianism</a> <a rel="nofollow" href="http://feeds.wordpress.com/1.0/gocomments/swanthinks.wordpress.com/618/"><img alt="" border="0" src="http://feeds.wordpress.com/1.0/comments/swanthinks.wordpress.com/618/" /></a> <img alt="" border="0" src="http://stats.wordpress.com/b.gif?host=swanthinks.wordpress.com&#038;blog=4286913&#038;post=618&#038;subd=swanthinks&#038;ref=&#038;feed=1" width="1" height="1" />]]></content:encoded>
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		<title>Product Development &#8211; Iterating by Color</title>
		<link>http://swanthinks.wordpress.com/2011/02/14/product-development-iterating-by-color/</link>
		<comments>http://swanthinks.wordpress.com/2011/02/14/product-development-iterating-by-color/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Mon, 14 Feb 2011 14:21:11 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Swan</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Uncategorized]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[agile]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[blue]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[colors]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[green]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[iterative]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[product development]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[yellow]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://swanthinks.wordpress.com/?p=599</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[Agile development has shown itself to be a superior approach over waterfall in many cases.   But, what I don&#8217;t see talked about much is the fact that each feature you pull off your backlog could be developed with a &#8230; <a href="http://swanthinks.wordpress.com/2011/02/14/product-development-iterating-by-color/">Continue reading <span class="meta-nav">&#8594;</span></a><img alt="" border="0" src="http://stats.wordpress.com/b.gif?host=swanthinks.wordpress.com&#038;blog=4286913&#038;post=599&#038;subd=swanthinks&#038;ref=&#038;feed=1" width="1" height="1" />]]></description>
				<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p><a href="http://swanthinks.files.wordpress.com/2011/02/greenyellowblue.png"><img class="alignleft size-medium wp-image-606" title="GreenYellowBlue" src="http://swanthinks.files.wordpress.com/2011/02/greenyellowblue.png?w=210&#038;h=131" alt="" width="210" height="131" /></a><a title="Agile Development - Wikipedia" href="http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Agile_software_development" target="_blank">Agile development</a> has shown itself to be a superior approach over waterfall in many cases.   But, what I don&#8217;t see talked about much is the fact that each feature you pull off your backlog could be developed with a variety of complexities.  If the business owner tells me that she needs to get from point A to point B, I could build her a Yugo or I could build her a Rolls Royce.  I am sure she would prefer the Rolls Royce, but if you factor in the time to build it and the cost, she might prefer the Yugo or something in-between.</p>
<p>The first time you attempt something brand new, you can involve the stakeholders in the design/development, but you are never 100% sure how they are going to react once it is launched.  So, it is best to build that feature relatively simply and then improve over time.</p>
<p>We use colors to denote the amount of resources that we are willing to dedicate to designing and developing a feature, process, or application.</p>
<p><a href="http://swanthinks.files.wordpress.com/2011/02/yellow.png"><img class="alignleft size-full wp-image-604" title="yellow" src="http://swanthinks.files.wordpress.com/2011/02/yellow.png?w=500" alt=""   /></a>Yellow is the lowest level.  It represents our first attempt at something and it is usually a minimum viable product.  We just want to solve the pain point so we can learn from it.  Often it is very manually intensive to run a yellow feature because elements that could be improved via technology are not.</p>
<p><a href="http://swanthinks.files.wordpress.com/2011/02/green.png"><img class="alignleft size-full wp-image-607" title="green" src="http://swanthinks.files.wordpress.com/2011/02/green.png?w=500" alt=""   /></a>Green is the next level.  At this point we want to build something that will not tax the operational team.  A solution should be able to run at this color for a year or so without causing any major stress to the system.  We are able to take what we learned from the yellow version to inform how the green system is designed/built.  Occasionally we go straight to green, but only when we feel there are no workable yellow solutions.</p>
<p><a href="http://swanthinks.files.wordpress.com/2011/02/blue.png"><img class="alignleft size-full wp-image-608" title="blue" src="http://swanthinks.files.wordpress.com/2011/02/blue.png?w=500" alt=""   /></a>Blue systems are designed to last for several years.  They should be scalable, easy to manage, well-architected, and most of all, they should only be built after one has learned from earlier implementations of the feature.  We sometimes go from yellow straight to blue, but we never build something at a blue level first.</p>
<p>This coloring approach is not nirvana.  There are challenges</p>
<ul>
<li>How do you split your resources among the different colored projects?</li>
<li>How do you decide to prioritize a blue version of something existing against a new yellow feature that is desired by stakeholders?</li>
<li>How do you merge yellow, green, and blue staged elements into the same system (will they always plug and play)?</li>
</ul>
<p>Anybody tried something similar?  What worked and didn&#8217;t work for you?</p>
<br /> Tagged: <a href='http://swanthinks.wordpress.com/tag/agile/'>agile</a>, <a href='http://swanthinks.wordpress.com/tag/blue/'>blue</a>, <a href='http://swanthinks.wordpress.com/tag/colors/'>colors</a>, <a href='http://swanthinks.wordpress.com/tag/green/'>green</a>, <a href='http://swanthinks.wordpress.com/tag/iterative/'>iterative</a>, <a href='http://swanthinks.wordpress.com/tag/product-development/'>product development</a>, <a href='http://swanthinks.wordpress.com/tag/yellow/'>yellow</a> <a rel="nofollow" href="http://feeds.wordpress.com/1.0/gocomments/swanthinks.wordpress.com/599/"><img alt="" border="0" src="http://feeds.wordpress.com/1.0/comments/swanthinks.wordpress.com/599/" /></a> <img alt="" border="0" src="http://stats.wordpress.com/b.gif?host=swanthinks.wordpress.com&#038;blog=4286913&#038;post=599&#038;subd=swanthinks&#038;ref=&#038;feed=1" width="1" height="1" />]]></content:encoded>
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			<media:title type="html">yellow</media:title>
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			<media:title type="html">green</media:title>
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		<title>The Power of &#8220;done&#8221;</title>
		<link>http://swanthinks.wordpress.com/2010/11/03/588/</link>
		<comments>http://swanthinks.wordpress.com/2010/11/03/588/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Thu, 04 Nov 2010 01:57:29 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Swan</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Uncategorized]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[agile]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[development]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[done]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[IT]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[iteration]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[process]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[scrum]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[stabilization]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://swanthinks.wordpress.com/?p=588</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[My agile scrumtastic friend Andrew Tsui invited me to join him for an evening meetup of Agile NYC led by the master of all scrum masters, Ken Schwaber. My primary takeaway from the session is the importance attached to the &#8230; <a href="http://swanthinks.wordpress.com/2010/11/03/588/">Continue reading <span class="meta-nav">&#8594;</span></a><img alt="" border="0" src="http://stats.wordpress.com/b.gif?host=swanthinks.wordpress.com&#038;blog=4286913&#038;post=588&#038;subd=swanthinks&#038;ref=&#038;feed=1" width="1" height="1" />]]></description>
				<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p><img alt="" src="http://t3.gstatic.com/images?q=tbn:ANd9GcSFjGRJohViyx4Hkxcd63JWqOozn3xX64fVPYP2iHNy4yupiyY&amp;t=1&amp;usg=__QUWMusMLe09_WDjRcYqH8tA4-4Q=" title="Scrum image" class="alignleft" width="204" height="204" />My agile scrumtastic friend <a href="http://www.aktually.com/selling-scrum-to-skeptics/selling-scrum-to-skeptics-going-slow-to-get-done-done-the-right-way/">Andrew Tsui</a> invited me to join him for an evening meetup of <a href="http://www.incrementor.com/agilenyc/110310.php">Agile NYC</a> led by the master of all scrum masters, <a href="http://kenschwaber.wordpress.com/">Ken Schwaber</a>.  My primary takeaway from the session is the importance attached to the definition of &#8220;done&#8221;.  </p>
<p>Too many software development teams move onto the next set of desired features before they have reached a full complete, tested, and shippable state on the current set of features.  This creates an over-estimated sense of the velocity at which the development team is progressing.   Unfortunately, it is not as simple as the team picking up where they left off and completing the unfinished pieces before a customer release.  Leaving loose ends in each iteration (sprint) is actually a compounding problem.</p>
<p>A team that consistently falls short of &#8220;done&#8221; ends up with a required stabilization stage which lasts much longer than the sum of all the missing elements from each iteration.  The problem is easily rectified by allowing the development team extra time per sprint (short-term) in order to dramatically reduce the stabilization stage and save time in the longer-term (release).  </p>
<p>Another nice side effect of slower velocity and increased amount of &#8220;done&#8221; per iteration is that the code base staves off the complexity that naturally slows velocity over time.  Thus velocity can be maintained at a higher rate over a longer period.</p>
<br /> Tagged: <a href='http://swanthinks.wordpress.com/tag/agile/'>agile</a>, <a href='http://swanthinks.wordpress.com/tag/development/'>development</a>, <a href='http://swanthinks.wordpress.com/tag/done/'>done</a>, <a href='http://swanthinks.wordpress.com/tag/it/'>IT</a>, <a href='http://swanthinks.wordpress.com/tag/iteration/'>iteration</a>, <a href='http://swanthinks.wordpress.com/tag/process/'>process</a>, <a href='http://swanthinks.wordpress.com/tag/scrum/'>scrum</a>, <a href='http://swanthinks.wordpress.com/tag/stabilization/'>stabilization</a> <a rel="nofollow" href="http://feeds.wordpress.com/1.0/gocomments/swanthinks.wordpress.com/588/"><img alt="" border="0" src="http://feeds.wordpress.com/1.0/comments/swanthinks.wordpress.com/588/" /></a> <img alt="" border="0" src="http://stats.wordpress.com/b.gif?host=swanthinks.wordpress.com&#038;blog=4286913&#038;post=588&#038;subd=swanthinks&#038;ref=&#038;feed=1" width="1" height="1" />]]></content:encoded>
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			<media:title type="html">Swan</media:title>
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		<title>Book Review &#8211; Game Based Marketing</title>
		<link>http://swanthinks.wordpress.com/2010/10/18/book-review-game-based-marketing/</link>
		<comments>http://swanthinks.wordpress.com/2010/10/18/book-review-game-based-marketing/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Mon, 18 Oct 2010 12:21:36 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Swan</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Book Review]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[book]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[games]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[gamification]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[review]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://swanthinks.wordpress.com/?p=575</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[I have the pleasure of knowing Gabe Zickermann quite well as the leader of the NYC Fall program for the Founder Institute. I am developing a start-up right now through that incubator.  He treated us to his presentation on gamification a &#8230; <a href="http://swanthinks.wordpress.com/2010/10/18/book-review-game-based-marketing/">Continue reading <span class="meta-nav">&#8594;</span></a><img alt="" border="0" src="http://stats.wordpress.com/b.gif?host=swanthinks.wordpress.com&#038;blog=4286913&#038;post=575&#038;subd=swanthinks&#038;ref=&#038;feed=1" width="1" height="1" />]]></description>
				<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p><img class="alignleft" title="Game Based Marketing Book Cover" src="http://www.gamification.co/wp-content/uploads/2009/12/game-based-marketing-cover6.jpg?w=198" alt="" width="159" height="240" />I have the pleasure of knowing <a href="http://www.linkedin.com/in/gzicherm" target="_blank">Gabe Zickermann</a> quite well as the leader of the NYC Fall program for the <a href="http://www.founderinstitute.com" target="_blank">Founder Institute</a>. I am developing a start-up right now through that incubator.  He treated us to his presentation on gamification a few weeks ago.  The idea of gamifying customer experiences is already intriguing to me, Gabe&#8217;s talk made it even more appealing.</p>
<p>Unfortunately, I have to say that the book version of his ideas does not hold a candle to his in-person presentation.  While I had hoped that it would provide lots more examples and even some tactical approaches to go about thinking how to gamify a specific business, it did not.  It remained a very high-level overview of the history and general concepts of gamification.  This book is a perfect example of an article being stretched too far.</p>
<p>I highly recommend that people think about <a href="http://gamification.co/category/presentations/" target="_blank">booking Gabe as a speaker</a>.  He is entertaining and this topic is pertinent to the Future of Business.  Gabe will help your group to think about engaging with customers in new ways.</p>
<br /> Tagged: <a href='http://swanthinks.wordpress.com/tag/book/'>book</a>, <a href='http://swanthinks.wordpress.com/tag/games/'>games</a>, <a href='http://swanthinks.wordpress.com/tag/gamification/'>gamification</a>, <a href='http://swanthinks.wordpress.com/tag/review/'>review</a> <a rel="nofollow" href="http://feeds.wordpress.com/1.0/gocomments/swanthinks.wordpress.com/575/"><img alt="" border="0" src="http://feeds.wordpress.com/1.0/comments/swanthinks.wordpress.com/575/" /></a> <img alt="" border="0" src="http://stats.wordpress.com/b.gif?host=swanthinks.wordpress.com&#038;blog=4286913&#038;post=575&#038;subd=swanthinks&#038;ref=&#038;feed=1" width="1" height="1" />]]></content:encoded>
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